From Realty Times:
Market Conditions
by Realty Times Staff
When the government decided to place Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac into its conservatorship, it opened up many different possible avenues the heal the ailing giants.
The New York Times reports that there haven't been any specific proposals made by lawmakers to date on what to do -- but in one option, some lawmaker "favors restoring the companies to health and then returning them to the way they were before they went into conservatorship, but with safeguards to prevent another crisis."
This seems a much milder approach than free-market theorists who favor a liquidation of the companies.
National Association of Realtors President, Richard Gaylord, issued the statement: "I commend Treasury Secretary Paulson and Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Lockhart for their bold actions to bring stability and continued liquidity to the nation’s mortgage market. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have always played a vital role in the U.S. economy by making fair and affordable mortgage loans available for home buyers and owners. Their critical mission must not be interrupted, and Sunday’s announcement goes a long way in making sure that does not happen."
Many experts hope that with this takeover will come restored confidence and more movement in the mortgage markets -- and maybe more affordable housing.
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Copyright © 2008 Realty Times. All Rights Reserved.
Wednesday, September 10, 2008
Tuesday, September 9, 2008
Real Estate Outlook: Recession Fears Put to Rest
From the September 9, 2008 REALTY TIMES:
Real Estate Outlook: Recession Fears Put to Rest
by Kenneth R. Harney
The latest national economic growth numbers should finally put to rest fears of a recession that could choke the real estate recovery now getting underway.
Second quarter Gross Domestic Product (or GDP) came in at an upwardly-revised 3.3 percent -- far above the 1.9 percent the federal government had previously estimated.
Key reasons for the robust economic performance: Exports, which have been riding the weak dollar to record levels, and lower imports because the prices of foreign-made goods have been priced higher.
Why should anyone interested in real estate care about GDP? Well, number one, when the economic growth rate accelerates, consumer confidence in the economy rises. That, in turn, pulls potential buyers off the sidelines and opens the door to higher housing sales.
And sure enough, the consumer confidence numbers for August, released last week by the Conference Board, are up by 5 points.
We're already seeing some impressive jumps in home sales in places that haven't seen positive news in two to three years -- central Florida and even some of the hardest-hit parts of California. According to a new report from the real estate tracking firm, DataQuick, sales in southern California jumped 16.7 percent in July over June, and were 14 percent above the pace of July the year before.
Another encouraging sign: Last week's mortgage rates dropped to 6.39 percent for 30-year fixed rate loans, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association of America. Fifteen year rates are still just under 6 percent. Applications for loans to buy homes jumped by 6 percent for conventional loans and an impressive 19.9 percent for FHA mortgages.
The federal government's latest quarterly survey on home prices reveals that the best price appreciation performances are now coming from areas that barely got noticed during the hottest years of the housing boom -- markets like Charleston, West Virginia ( up 6 percent for the year), Greenville, South Carolina (up 5.8 percent), Tulsa, Oklahoma (up by nearly 5 percent) and Scranton, Pennsylvania, where values were up by 4.7 percent..
All these markets -- and there are dozens more spread through Texas, the Midwest and the South -- never experienced the wild days of double digit appreciation.
They offer affordable housing prices and moderate - but steady and slow - price growth. They're not flashy -- never have been, probably never will be -- but that's why they're still producing positive appreciation numbers, while the boom to bust markets are not.
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Copyright © 2008 Realty Times. All Rights Reserved.
There are some who feel that the numbers on which this article is based are not really correct - that the Feds are leaving out some things that would negatively effect the GDP. October may give us a better indicator and hopefully still support the premise that the Recession is no longer a concern.
Real Estate Outlook: Recession Fears Put to Rest
by Kenneth R. Harney
The latest national economic growth numbers should finally put to rest fears of a recession that could choke the real estate recovery now getting underway.
Second quarter Gross Domestic Product (or GDP) came in at an upwardly-revised 3.3 percent -- far above the 1.9 percent the federal government had previously estimated.
Key reasons for the robust economic performance: Exports, which have been riding the weak dollar to record levels, and lower imports because the prices of foreign-made goods have been priced higher.
Why should anyone interested in real estate care about GDP? Well, number one, when the economic growth rate accelerates, consumer confidence in the economy rises. That, in turn, pulls potential buyers off the sidelines and opens the door to higher housing sales.
And sure enough, the consumer confidence numbers for August, released last week by the Conference Board, are up by 5 points.
We're already seeing some impressive jumps in home sales in places that haven't seen positive news in two to three years -- central Florida and even some of the hardest-hit parts of California. According to a new report from the real estate tracking firm, DataQuick, sales in southern California jumped 16.7 percent in July over June, and were 14 percent above the pace of July the year before.
Another encouraging sign: Last week's mortgage rates dropped to 6.39 percent for 30-year fixed rate loans, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association of America. Fifteen year rates are still just under 6 percent. Applications for loans to buy homes jumped by 6 percent for conventional loans and an impressive 19.9 percent for FHA mortgages.
The federal government's latest quarterly survey on home prices reveals that the best price appreciation performances are now coming from areas that barely got noticed during the hottest years of the housing boom -- markets like Charleston, West Virginia ( up 6 percent for the year), Greenville, South Carolina (up 5.8 percent), Tulsa, Oklahoma (up by nearly 5 percent) and Scranton, Pennsylvania, where values were up by 4.7 percent..
All these markets -- and there are dozens more spread through Texas, the Midwest and the South -- never experienced the wild days of double digit appreciation.
They offer affordable housing prices and moderate - but steady and slow - price growth. They're not flashy -- never have been, probably never will be -- but that's why they're still producing positive appreciation numbers, while the boom to bust markets are not.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Copyright © 2008 Realty Times. All Rights Reserved.
There are some who feel that the numbers on which this article is based are not really correct - that the Feds are leaving out some things that would negatively effect the GDP. October may give us a better indicator and hopefully still support the premise that the Recession is no longer a concern.
Monday, September 1, 2008
FHA Increasing Premiums
From Realty Times:
Washington Report: FHA Increasing Premiums
by Kenneth R. Harney
The politicians may have fled Washington for conventions and vacations, but there's been lots of action at the Federal Housing Administration that could affect home buyers and borrowers across the country.
Tops on the list: Forced by Congress to raise prices, FHA is increasing the mortgage premiums it charges applicants in its booming programs. Starting October 1st, upfront premiums will jump by one quarter of a percentage point -- from the current one and half percent of the loan amount to one and three quarters.
Annual premiums will remain in the half-point range. Home owners seeking refinancing under the expanded "FHASecure" program will be charged 3 points in premiums up front.
FHA had no choice but to raise premiums across the board following Congress's imposition of a one year moratorium on the agency's planned move to "risk based pricing" for all applicants, using credit scores and downpayment amounts.
Under those plans, people with high credit scores and downpayments would be charged lower insurance premiums. Borrowers with low scores and downpayments would be charged more - precisely as they are in the private mortgage insurance industry.
But Congress decided to keep the traditional "one-size-fits-all" cross-subsidization approach that FHA has used for decades, at least for another year.
Seller-paid downpayment gift assistance through third-party organizations such as Nehemiah and Ameridream -- which the agency says have contributed heavily to insurance claims -- will no longer be accepted by FHA as of October 1.
The net effect of the premium increase for most buyers: An extra $500 more in fees up front on a typical $200,000 mortgage.
At the same time, FHA announced a series consumer-friendly changes to the ways it handles loan modifications for borrowers in financial trouble. The bottom line is that when home owners fall behind and need to have their payment terms changed to enable them to stay in the house, fees will be tacked onto their principal debts and any rate hikes will be limited.
Finally, FHA's parent department -- HUD -- made good on its promise and sent its final version of real estate settlement and mortgage disclosure rules -- the so-called "RESPA reform" regulations - for final White House clearance. Though mortgage and real estate industry groups - along with 243 members of the House -- have criticized the rules as unwieldy and potentially costly to implement, HUD said consumers need better disclosures now, not later. The RESPA changes appear likely to be adopted before the next administration arrives in January -- tossing a political hot potato to either John McCain or Barack Obama.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Copyright © 2008 Realty Times. All Rights Reserved.
Washington Report: FHA Increasing Premiums
by Kenneth R. Harney
The politicians may have fled Washington for conventions and vacations, but there's been lots of action at the Federal Housing Administration that could affect home buyers and borrowers across the country.
Tops on the list: Forced by Congress to raise prices, FHA is increasing the mortgage premiums it charges applicants in its booming programs. Starting October 1st, upfront premiums will jump by one quarter of a percentage point -- from the current one and half percent of the loan amount to one and three quarters.
Annual premiums will remain in the half-point range. Home owners seeking refinancing under the expanded "FHASecure" program will be charged 3 points in premiums up front.
FHA had no choice but to raise premiums across the board following Congress's imposition of a one year moratorium on the agency's planned move to "risk based pricing" for all applicants, using credit scores and downpayment amounts.
Under those plans, people with high credit scores and downpayments would be charged lower insurance premiums. Borrowers with low scores and downpayments would be charged more - precisely as they are in the private mortgage insurance industry.
But Congress decided to keep the traditional "one-size-fits-all" cross-subsidization approach that FHA has used for decades, at least for another year.
Seller-paid downpayment gift assistance through third-party organizations such as Nehemiah and Ameridream -- which the agency says have contributed heavily to insurance claims -- will no longer be accepted by FHA as of October 1.
The net effect of the premium increase for most buyers: An extra $500 more in fees up front on a typical $200,000 mortgage.
At the same time, FHA announced a series consumer-friendly changes to the ways it handles loan modifications for borrowers in financial trouble. The bottom line is that when home owners fall behind and need to have their payment terms changed to enable them to stay in the house, fees will be tacked onto their principal debts and any rate hikes will be limited.
Finally, FHA's parent department -- HUD -- made good on its promise and sent its final version of real estate settlement and mortgage disclosure rules -- the so-called "RESPA reform" regulations - for final White House clearance. Though mortgage and real estate industry groups - along with 243 members of the House -- have criticized the rules as unwieldy and potentially costly to implement, HUD said consumers need better disclosures now, not later. The RESPA changes appear likely to be adopted before the next administration arrives in January -- tossing a political hot potato to either John McCain or Barack Obama.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Copyright © 2008 Realty Times. All Rights Reserved.
Friday, August 29, 2008
Home Sales Get a Much Needed Boost
NATIONAL REALTY NEWS reports on a Freddie Mac announcement - the full text of the article appears below:
Home Values Up in Several Parts of the Country; Thirteen States Registered Price Gains
Regional performance data appears the the bottom of the article.
Regional performance data appears the the bottom of the article.
Thursday, August 7, 2008
Prices Up In Certain Markets
August 7, 2008
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Real Estate Outlook: Prices Up In Certain Markets
by Kenneth R. Harney
When you're in a long, slow recovery period in real estate, even the slightest hint of good news can be significant.
We saw that last week, when the controversial Standard & Poor's Case-Shiller home price index came out.
You may have seen the headlines or watched the gloomy news reports on TV: Prices were down again -- this time by nearly 16 percent year to year -- in 20 of the largest U.S. markets.
Now even if you accept the validity of that index as a measure of what's really going on in prices nationwide -- and we have always had serious doubts about it -- when you scratch below the surface of the latest monthly report, you find some surprisingly positive developments that got little or no media attention.
Number one: Prices in seven of Case-Shiller's top markets actually were UP for the month. They include Denver, Atlanta, Boston, Minneapolis, Charlotte, Portland and Dallas.
Number two: The month to month change for the entire index was a minus nine tenths of one percent. We all know the index is disproportionately weighted toward the most volatile, high-cost markets of the boom years, so when the monthly change is less than one percent, it begins to look like the curve is finally flattening out.
That's definitely positive news, especially coming from the most bearish source in the real estate marketplace.
In other economic developments affecting housing this week, recession fears were put off for still another quarter, as the U.S. economy continued to expand and defy the doomsayers. The Gross Domestic Product (or GDP) rose at a 1.9 percent rate in the second quarter, up from nine tenths of one percent in the first quarter.
Mortgage rates dropped to 6.46 percent for 30 year fixed rate loans, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association of America. Fifteen years rates slid below the 6 percent mark again, down from 6.1 percent last week. Both are lower than year ago levels.
The main negative at work at the moment is the unemployment rate, which jumped again last month and now stands at 5.7 percent. However, the Labor Department just revised its employment numbers upward by 26,000 for the prior two months. As a result, according to forecast economist Dr. Orawin Velz of the Mortgage Bankers Association, "the decline in employment in the past two months is less severe than originally reported."
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Copyright © 2008 Realty Times. All Rights Reserved.
.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Real Estate Outlook: Prices Up In Certain Markets
by Kenneth R. Harney
When you're in a long, slow recovery period in real estate, even the slightest hint of good news can be significant.
We saw that last week, when the controversial Standard & Poor's Case-Shiller home price index came out.
You may have seen the headlines or watched the gloomy news reports on TV: Prices were down again -- this time by nearly 16 percent year to year -- in 20 of the largest U.S. markets.
Now even if you accept the validity of that index as a measure of what's really going on in prices nationwide -- and we have always had serious doubts about it -- when you scratch below the surface of the latest monthly report, you find some surprisingly positive developments that got little or no media attention.
Number one: Prices in seven of Case-Shiller's top markets actually were UP for the month. They include Denver, Atlanta, Boston, Minneapolis, Charlotte, Portland and Dallas.
Number two: The month to month change for the entire index was a minus nine tenths of one percent. We all know the index is disproportionately weighted toward the most volatile, high-cost markets of the boom years, so when the monthly change is less than one percent, it begins to look like the curve is finally flattening out.
That's definitely positive news, especially coming from the most bearish source in the real estate marketplace.
In other economic developments affecting housing this week, recession fears were put off for still another quarter, as the U.S. economy continued to expand and defy the doomsayers. The Gross Domestic Product (or GDP) rose at a 1.9 percent rate in the second quarter, up from nine tenths of one percent in the first quarter.
Mortgage rates dropped to 6.46 percent for 30 year fixed rate loans, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association of America. Fifteen years rates slid below the 6 percent mark again, down from 6.1 percent last week. Both are lower than year ago levels.
The main negative at work at the moment is the unemployment rate, which jumped again last month and now stands at 5.7 percent. However, the Labor Department just revised its employment numbers upward by 26,000 for the prior two months. As a result, according to forecast economist Dr. Orawin Velz of the Mortgage Bankers Association, "the decline in employment in the past two months is less severe than originally reported."
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Copyright © 2008 Realty Times. All Rights Reserved.
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Tuesday, August 5, 2008
MARKET CONDITIONS - NEXT MORTGAGE CRISIS
A Realty Times article from New York Times data that suggests we are not out of the woods yet.
A SECOND ROUND IN THE FUTURE?
Doesn't exactly give you that warm feeling, does it?
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A SECOND ROUND IN THE FUTURE?
Doesn't exactly give you that warm feeling, does it?
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Saturday, August 2, 2008
Charitable Downpayment Assistance Legislation
August 1, 2008
The FHA bill passed by congress and signed by Bush this week eliminated charitable downpayment assistance like Ameridream and Nehemiah.
Last night, Congress introduced bipartisan legislation, H.R. 6694 that would reauthorize and reform charitable downpayment assistance. This bill would remedy a harmful provision in the new housing law which limits homeownership opportunities for low and middle-income Americans. The legislation, sponsored by U.S. Reps. Al Green (D-TX), Gary Miller (R-CA), Maxine Waters (D-CA), and Christopher Shays (R-CT) reauthorizes and reforms charitable downpayment assistance funded in part by sellers, which has helped over one million families and individuals become homeowners since 1999. The program was eliminated by legislation signed by President Bush on July 30, 2008.
The Green-Miller-Waters-Shays plan would re-authorize and reform non-profit downpayment assistance and secure it as an allowable source for FHA borrowers. The bill seeks to ensure that providers of the downpayment assistance operate in a transparent manner to guard against conflicts of interest. The bill also includes language to ensure that FHA maintains its financial stability by permanently authorizing the Secretary to assess higher premiums to higher risk borrowers.
It is important that you contact your elected officials in Congress and tell them that you support downpayment assistance and urge them to support H. R. 6694. To reach your elected officials, please call the US Capitol Switchboard at 202.224.3121.
To learn how you can support it, visit http://www.supporthomeownership.com.
We can only hope Congress will look favorably upon this bill.
.
The FHA bill passed by congress and signed by Bush this week eliminated charitable downpayment assistance like Ameridream and Nehemiah.
Last night, Congress introduced bipartisan legislation, H.R. 6694 that would reauthorize and reform charitable downpayment assistance. This bill would remedy a harmful provision in the new housing law which limits homeownership opportunities for low and middle-income Americans. The legislation, sponsored by U.S. Reps. Al Green (D-TX), Gary Miller (R-CA), Maxine Waters (D-CA), and Christopher Shays (R-CT) reauthorizes and reforms charitable downpayment assistance funded in part by sellers, which has helped over one million families and individuals become homeowners since 1999. The program was eliminated by legislation signed by President Bush on July 30, 2008.
The Green-Miller-Waters-Shays plan would re-authorize and reform non-profit downpayment assistance and secure it as an allowable source for FHA borrowers. The bill seeks to ensure that providers of the downpayment assistance operate in a transparent manner to guard against conflicts of interest. The bill also includes language to ensure that FHA maintains its financial stability by permanently authorizing the Secretary to assess higher premiums to higher risk borrowers.
It is important that you contact your elected officials in Congress and tell them that you support downpayment assistance and urge them to support H. R. 6694. To reach your elected officials, please call the US Capitol Switchboard at 202.224.3121.
To learn how you can support it, visit http://www.supporthomeownership.com.
We can only hope Congress will look favorably upon this bill.
.
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